Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 avr. 26, 19:36 UTC7 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance and Gavin Newsom face each other in the 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill the gop ticket in 2028 be Jd Vance for President, Marco Rubio for vice president?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves yes if Marco Rubio, jd Vance, or Gavin Newsom win the 2028 election.
- Must be presidential nominee.
- If one of them is vp nominee and wins, doesn’t count.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2028.
- Comment Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if Marco Rubio, jd Vance, or Gavin Newsom win the 2028 election.