Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.2%
Prévisionnistes
63
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 févr. 24, 11:25 UTC13 oct. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill A Class Action Lawsuit Be Filed Against Manifold or ManiPlay By End Of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWill chess be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiRègles
I have a seperate question where you are able to add your own answers for possible moves for yourself, I will play as white and each move will be chosen by whichever answer has the highest probability, this market resolves when the chess game ends.
- NOTE: If the game is a draw I have not one so it resolves as NO, and If there are two of the same move then the one with the higher probability is chosen.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic58.2%
- Koki Matsuda+7.0pt41.8%
- Volume total
- 4,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,5 M €
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Joaquin Niemann+18.7pt19.5%
- Rory McIlroy11%
- Jon Rahm-1.4pt5.1%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,4 M €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt14%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.9%
- Seattle-1.0pt6.1%
+29 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 78 M €
KALSHITampa Bay vs Atlanta
- Atlanta-3.0pt50.5%
- Tampa Bay+2.0pt49.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Roma-6.0pt40.4%
- Tie+9.0pt37.4%
- Fenerbahce-7.0pt22.2%
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHISan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- Los Angeles R64.4%
- San Francisco35.6%
- Volume total
- 3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
- FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- Trevisan vs Maristany Zuleta de Reales
- Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- Eindhoven vs Shakhtar
- Tampa Bay vs Atlanta: Total Runs
- Lagutin vs Alcala Gurri
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Bayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- MVP Winner?
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) doit être résolu le 13 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I have a seperate question where you are able to add your own answers for possible moves for yourself, I will play as white and each move will be chosen by whichever answer has the highest probability, this market resolves when the chess game ends.