Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.5%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète18 mai 26, 08:27 UTC16 mars 27, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if I submit the Common Application to Stanford for Fall 2027 transfer entry, with the Stanford supplement and application fee (or fee waiver) completed, by 11:59 PM Central Time on March 15, 2027.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Close date: March 16, 2027.
- Notes: Resolution depends only on my submission of the applicant-controlled portion.
Marchés ouverts
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 18 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 8,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 136,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027? doit être résolu le 16 mars 2027.
- Comment Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if I submit the Common Application to Stanford for Fall 2027 transfer entry, with the Stanford supplement and application fee (or fee waiver) completed, by 11:59 PM Central Time on March 15, 2027.