Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 26, 00:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if I surpass 2000 elo in either rapid or blitz once in the year 2026, otherwise resolves NO
- Rapid Elo (I mainly play rapid) at the time of making this market: 1402
- My account: https://www.chess.com/member/TrashPanda20082
- I'm planning on playing/practicing(puzzles, studying openings, endgames, watching chess videos, etc.) almost daily and am currently attending a chess club weekly.
- I'll update this description if/when that changes.
