Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 mars 26, 19:49 UTC6 mai 28, 18:44 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many top 10 Indonesia's IMO 2026 TST will qualify to IMO 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I appreciate getting a mani-pedi?
Manifold MarketsWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves based on date that the IMO team is finalized, or date when we start dating.
- This does not include boyfriends.
- Whether or not they count as a girlfriend is up to my discretion.
- If neither happens before the USA IMO 2028 team is finalized, this resolves NO.
- Background: I live in the US.
- IMO 2028 is the final IMO I am eligible for.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CultureKALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+4.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 19,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 k €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-11.5pt61.4%
- Yes+11.5pt38.6%
- Volume total
- 23,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+4.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 10,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
KALSHITSA avg check-ins from Sep 21 to 27, 2026?
- Above 2.35 million66%
- Above 2.4 million24%
- Above 2.45 million9%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 477,5 €
- Volume 24h
- 477,5 €
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Tanoa Sasraku+1.0pt33.3%
- Kira Freije+1.0pt31.4%
- Marguerite Humeau26.7%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 50,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 179,7 €
- New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend? doit être résolu le 6 mai 2028.
- Comment Will I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves based on date that the IMO team is finalized, or date when we start dating.