Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète16 avr. 26, 04:56 UTC16 avr. 29, 04:43 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I get a girlfriend before I finish Hatcher?
Manifold MarketsWill I get a girlfriend before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?
Manifold MarketsWill I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a wife by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be accepted to join the Fire Department for the September round?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff I enter into a committed romantic relationship that I define as having a girlfriend before I complete The Rising Sea by Ravi Vakil.
- It resolves NO if I complete the entire text and solve all exercises before entering such a relationship. "Finish" is defined as reading the entire text and solving every exercise to my own satisfaction.
- I will not manipulate the outcome by intentionally slowing my mathematical progress or self-sabotaging.
- The Rising Sea: Foundations of Algebraic Geometry is an comprehensive and notoriously demanding textbook on algebraic geometry written by Ravi Vakil.
