Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?
RégulationOne-OffTech2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 83.3%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète10 mai 23, 20:52 UTC1 janv. 29, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft by 2099?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft by 2049?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill Helion Energy receive 1 or more INFUSE awards in FY2026?
ForecastExWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce?
KalshiRègles
Helion Energy, a company focused on developing nuclear fusion technology, has signed a power purchase agreement with Microsoft to provide at least 50 megawatts of fusion-generated electricity by 2028.
- The deal, if successful, would mark a significant milestone in the pursuit of commercial nuclear fusion as a viable energy source.
- However, there are numerous technical challenges and uncertainties that Helion Energy must overcome to achieve this ambitious goal.
- Will Helion Energy successfully provide at least 50 megawatts of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before January 1st, 2029, as part of their power purchase agreement?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2029, Helion Energy has publicly and credibly documented to have:
Marchés ouverts
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,6 k €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Helion Energy, a company focused on developing nuclear fusion technology, has signed a power purchase agreement with Microsoft to provide at least 50 megawatts of fusion-generated electricity by 2028.