Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.8%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
8 oct. 23, 22:08 UTC13 janv. 49, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Haruki Murakami release a 16th novel in Japanese or English by January 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Manifold MarketsWins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Alan Moore ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
Manifold MarketsNational Book Award for Translated Literature
KalshiNational Book Award for Young People's Literature
KalshiRègles
Haruki Murakami is a world-renowned Japanese author who has been translated into many different languages and published several novels and works of nonfiction to widespread popular and critical acclaim.
- Despite constant speculation from Nobel watchers around the globe, at a current 74 years of age he has never won the Prize for Literature.
- Will he ever win it? Let's take a guess...
