Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.3%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 26, 20:05 UTC20 avr. 32, 11:20 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Despite the title saying ‘by 2032’, this market resolves YES if Newsom becomes president before scheduled market close date.
- Resolves NO at scheduled market close date, or if Newsom dies or becomes ineligible.
