Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.3%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 26, 20:05 UTC20 avr. 32, 11:20 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Despite the title saying ‘by 2032’, this market resolves YES if Newsom becomes president before scheduled market close date.
- Resolves NO at scheduled market close date, or if Newsom dies or becomes ineligible.
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032? doit être résolu le 20 avril 2032.
- Comment Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Despite the title saying ‘by 2032’, this market resolves YES if Newsom becomes president before scheduled market close date.