Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 sept. 26, 11:00 UTC5 nov. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
