Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 sept. 26, 11:00 UTC5 nov. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 50% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? doit être résolu le 5 novembre 2030.
- Comment Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria