Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.5%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète24 déc. 25, 21:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
KalshiWill there be >250k tech layoffs in 2027 according to Layoffs.fyi?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if DoorDash announces or implements layoffs affecting at least 4% of its total global employee headcount during calendar year 2026.
- This includes employees of wholly owned subsidiaries (Wolt, Deliveroo, SevenRooms, etc.).
- Resolution will be based on official company announcements, SEC filings, or credible reporting from major news outlets.
- The layoffs must be announced or take effect in 2026.
- The 4% threshold will be calculated using the most recent employee count disclosed in DoorDash's SEC filings at the time of resolution.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 105,1 k €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will DoorDash have layoffs in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will DoorDash have layoffs in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will DoorDash have layoffs in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will DoorDash have layoffs in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria