Will Donald Trump deport, imprison, denaturalize, or attack Jack Smith using the powers of the US government?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.6%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète9 nov. 24, 10:51 UTC23 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
PolymarketWill at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
I'm open to updating resolution terms until Trump is sworn into office.
- I do not consider changes to Jack Smith's employment status (eg: being fired or demoted) to be sufficient for a YES.
- I will not bet in this market.
