Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 64.9%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 24, 22:22 UTC1 févr. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Will Ron DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
- If Trump doesn’t win the election, this resolves N/A. Any position in the administration that is designated by the President and is considered “full-time” would count.
- For example, any Secretary position, Ambassador, VP, etc. A position held at any point during the administration would count.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration? doit être résolu le 1 février 2029.
- Comment Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Ron DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?