Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionMoyen-Orient8jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 92%
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Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 57 minutes
En retard11 avr. 26, 14:01 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party secures a majority of seats in the United States House of Representatives following the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be determined by the official certification of results by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives and reports from authoritative news outlets such as the Associated Press.
- If the control of the House remains unclear due to contested results, legal challenges, or a split that prevents a majority, the market will resolve based on which party is recognized as the majority in the opening session of the 120th Congress.
- The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections will determine the composition of the 120th Congress.
