Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.5%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète17 mai 22, 20:01 UTC1 janv. 00, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This question is a proxy for "which is better, Comma.ai or Tesla?" or which one I'll prefer to get.
- If you're reading a book you're obviously not driving?
- What I mean is, what company will let me (safely, see next FAQ item) read a book while sitting in the driver's seat of a private car, being the sole human in charge of the car.
- Technically you can do this in a Yugo?
- It has to be safe to do! Hacking the self-driving tech to bypass the "is the driver watching the road" mechanism also doesn't count.
- So also legal, though if the law were to fall blatantly behind what's clearly safe, we can talk about that.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question is a proxy for "which is better, Comma.ai or Tesla?" or which one I'll prefer to get.