Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 86.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 26, 08:35 UTC30 avr. 28, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
Manifold MarketsWho will live longer?
Manifold MarketsWill Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
PolymarketClavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
[image]Aziz Sergeyevich Shavershian (aka Zyzz) died 22 years and 134 days old on 5 August 2011.
- Braden Eric Peters (aka Clavicular) was born on 17 December 2005.
- On 30 April 2028 he will be 22 years and 135 days old if he is still alive.
- Resolves YES if Clavicular is still alive on 30 April 2028.
- Resolves NO if he dies before then.
Marchés ouverts
Society & Culture
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,2 k €
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 10,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 k €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 431,2 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+0.5pt82.2%
- Yes-0.5pt17.8%
- Volume total
- 17,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 234,7 €
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Volume total
- 189,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 189,7 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+3.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 50,9 k €
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 87% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? doit être résolu le 30 avril 2028.
- Comment Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [image]Aziz Sergeyevich Shavershian (aka Zyzz) died 22 years and 134 days old on 5 August 2011.