Will Chuck Grassley run for reelection in 2028 to a ninth term as US Senator from Iowa?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.6%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
10 mai 26, 03:40 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Chuck Grassley serve out his term in the US Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsChuck Grassley dies before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
KalshiWill John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiRègles
He would turn 95 that year, and 101 at the end of his hypothetical ninth term.
- (This would beat the record set for oldest senator (100) set by Strom Thurmond.)
- He filed some paperwork to do so already, but it's nonbinding.
- Resolves YES if Grassley ends up being on the ballot.
- Resolves NO if he is not on the ballot for any reason (including not being alive).
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
