Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 87%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète28 sept. 26, 19:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of tellurium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China requires special export licenses for samarium.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
