Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54%
Prévisionnistes
110
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète4 sept. 22, 20:49 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945
- Sep 4, 9:54pm: Probably I'll use The World Bank or something, if I consider reliable.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & Economy
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21 k €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2039.
- Comment Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945