Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 56.9%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 14:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for October 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
