Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
6 janv. 26, 22:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
LimitlessWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan or its government by December 31, 2026.
- China considers Taiwan part of its territory, and Xi Jinping has emphasised reunification as a core objective, while Taiwan operates as a self-governing democracy with its own government and military. .