Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.8%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 14:20 UTC30 juin 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending April 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for April 2027 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9 k €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.