Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Cardano EthereumOne-OffCrypto Criminalité et justice3a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 89.4%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

2 déc. 22, 05:16 UTC31 déc. 29, 05:00 UTC

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if they are not found not guilty.
Examples that count: wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft.

Marchés ouverts

Cardano

KALSHI

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Bitcoin+4.0ptHistorique enregistré sur 24hAchat–vente enregistré9%–16%Collecté: 10 oct. 2026, 11:27 UTC
CardanoAchat–vente enregistré0%–7%Collecté: 10 oct. 2026, 11:27 UTC
Ethereum-5.0ptHistorique enregistré sur 24hAchat–vente enregistré2%–10%Collecté: 10 oct. 2026, 11:27 UTC

+4 résultats de plus

Volume total: 3,3 k €
Volume 24h: 544,4 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

No74.8%
Yes25.2%

Volume total: 113,4 €
Volume 24h: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total: 228,5 €

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 89.4% au 10 octobre 2026.
Quand Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
Comment Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

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Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Marchés ouverts

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Cryptos liées

Questions fréquentes

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

Marchés ouverts

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?