Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

CardanoOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 74.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

27 janv. 26, 20:31 UTC1 févr. 28, 00:00 UTC

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
The market was initialized to 14%.

Marchés ouverts

Cardano

KALSHI

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

CardanoAchat–vente enregistré0%–7%Collecté: 11 oct. 2026, 07:56 UTC
EthereumAchat–vente enregistré2%–10%Collecté: 11 oct. 2026, 07:56 UTC
Bitcoin-3.0ptHistorique enregistré sur 24hAchat–vente enregistré9%–13%Collecté: 11 oct. 2026, 07:56 UTC

+4 résultats de plus

Volume total: 3,9 k €
Volume 24h: 855,6 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

No89.4%
Yes10.6%

Volume total: 609,2 €
Volume 24h: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total: 228,5 €

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 74.8% au 11 octobre 2026.
Quand Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.
Comment Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Marchés ouverts

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Cryptos liées

Questions fréquentes

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

Marchés ouverts

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?