Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69.4%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète29 oct. 25, 23:54 UTC31 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will California authorize at least 150,000 housing units in one year by 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Manifold MarketsWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiWill New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As reported by FRED.
- If that data series is no longer available, a best effort will be made to produce comparable numbers and judge accordingly.
- @/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous
- @/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous-SnhQtqQcRI
- Individual year estimates:
- @/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-0p0z0cAphZ
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21 k €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
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- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will California authorize more housing units in 2028 than 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As reported by FRED.