Will Ben Shapiro be criminally charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?
RégulationOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionCriminalité et justice13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73.1%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 oct. 24, 17:26 UTC1 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing Ben Shapiro (political commentator, lawyer) has been indicted or criminally charged by police, or sued by the SEC (or similar).
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2040.
- Question is global -- criminal charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, or if they are found not guilty.
- Lawsuits generally do not count unless they come from a governing body such as the SEC.
- Examples include wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft, and falsifying business records.
