Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 50.4%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète6 sept. 26, 12:32 UTC5 janv. 41, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.
- “Desalinated water” means water produced in Australia through desalination of seawater or estuarine water for supply by water-service providers.
- The preferred resolution sources are the Australian Bureau of Statistics Water Account, Bureau of Meteorology National Performance Report, or another authoritative Australian government source.
- If no single official source reports an Australia-wide calendar-year total, the market may resolve using sufficiently detailed official data from individual utilities or desalination plants, provided those figures can reasonably be summed to determine whether the 500 GL threshold was crossed.
- The relevant quantity is treated desalinated water produced or supplied, not seawater intake or total plant throughput before treatment.
- Water produced from desalination of saline groundwater is excluded unless it is included in the relevant national government series used for resolution.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 50.4% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? doit être résolu le 5 janvier 2041.
- Comment Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.