Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.0 kg by Dec 2028?
RégulationOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 75.3%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète19 févr. 26, 15:11 UTC31 déc. 28, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 3.0 kg by 2028-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2028-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2027-07-05 to 2028-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.0 kg by Dec 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.0 kg by Dec 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.0 kg by Dec 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.0 kg by Dec 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 3.0 kg by 2028-12-31.