Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (95.1%)
Résolu: 24 oct. 2026, 03:23
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes95.1%
No4.900000000000006%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release an iphone without a camera bump before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Minor upgrades of existing products do not count as novel.
- Bold innovative things that haven't been done before do count as novel.
- Things that have been done before by other companies but never by Apple may count as novel, if they're not pathetic and dumb.
- Some examples:
- An upgraded Macbook that gets 30% better performance is not novel.
- A 2-in-1 Macbook that folds back to turn into an iPad is novel.