Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 51 minutes
En retard16 déc. 24, 16:06 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?
Manifold MarketsApple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026?
Futuur🚘 Will Apple announce the launch of a car by 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Any type of foldable phone launched by Apple will resolve to Yes.
- Update 2025-10-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Launched" means the foldable phone must be available to purchase in 2026 (not just announced).