Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.2%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète31 mars 25, 15:58 UTC5 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves based on whether the 2028 U.S. presidential election features a direct matchup between a member of the Trump family and a member of the Obama family, including as independent candidates, president or vice-president.
- For this market to resolve YES, one major party nominee must be from the Trump family (Donald, Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, etc.) and the other major party nominee must be from the Obama family (Barack, Michelle, etc.).
- Other people with the same surnames do not count.
- If only one family has a nominee, or neither family has a nominee, the market resolves NO.
