Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 71.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 minutes
7 avr. 26, 14:56 UTC31 déc. 27, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any OEM be producing LLZO solid-state battery packs at commercial scale (≥1 GWh/year) by December 31, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
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PolymarketWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if at least one automotive OEM or battery manufacturer is producing LLZO (Li7La3Zr2O12, lithium lanthanum zirconium oxide) solid-state battery packs at commercial scale — defined as an annualized production rate of at least 1 GWh/year at a single facility — by December 31, 2027.
- Toyota, Samsung SDI, or another OEM has confirmed commercial LLZO SSB production at a single facility with annualized capacity of at least 1 GWh/year
- Commercial vehicle deliveries with LLZO SSB packs are documented (not prototype/demo)
- Production announced for ≥1 GWh/year run rate and confirmed by independent reporting
- Only pilot or demonstration scale production exists (<1 GWh/year annualized)
- Sulfide-based SSBs (QuantumScape, Solid Power) are at commercial scale but not LLZO
