Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffEspaceRussie / Ukraine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.7%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète1 mars 26, 09:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any nuclear weapon is detonated by the United States in combat or testing by December 31, 2026.
- This includes strategic warheads, tactical nuclear weapons, or any other nuclear explosive device deployed by U.S. military forces.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government statements, credible news reporting from major international outlets, or public acknowledgment by the Department of Defense.
- The market resolves NO if no nuclear detonation occurs by the end of 2026.
- The United States remains the only country to have used nuclear weapons in combat, with the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II.
