Will any non-astronaut be "commuting to the moon" before 2040?
CryptoOne-OffEspaceEntreprises et affairesTech13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.5%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
17 août 26, 22:10 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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https://fortune.com/2026/08/17/billionaire-founder-predicts-live-work-space-bezos-musk-altman-2030-moon/
- This question will resolve Yes if any one non-astronaut works on Earth's moon for seven days or more before December 31st 2039.
- The exact form of labor is nonspecific, but they cannot be there for leisure.
- The person in question cannot be a public or private "astronaut" (or cosmonaut, etc.) as their primary profession, that is to say someone whose job is traversing outer space on specialized craft.
- Safety training, fitness tests, or other elements of space travel that would be insufficient for someone to be considered a professional astronaut are fine.
- The spirit of this market is concerned with "factory workers," "miners," or other jobs, however elevated by local advanced automated tools, involving a physical commute to the moon to do labor.
