Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 58 minutes
En retard9 sept. 23, 21:25 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Polymarket stop using the UMA protocol by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhen will the Eco currency start being used in the ECOWAS?
FutuurWill any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
Manifold MarketsConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiAlaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
KalshiRègles
Paper currency must no longer be accepted as local legal tender (excl foreign currency exchange, ofc), officially and in common practice.
- The change can be to metal, hard plastic, digital, barter, or whatnot.
- Notably, plastic "paper" does not count: it cannot be a change to different soft foldable sheets, no matter the underlying material.
- Resolves YES if a country newly makes such a change (after creation date: Sept 9, 2023), or NO after close.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21 k €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Paper currency must no longer be accepted as local legal tender (excl foreign currency exchange, ofc), officially and in common practice.