Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection16a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.8%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète25 juin 24, 02:31 UTC21 janv. 43, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met or the office of President of the United States is abolished.
- For purposes of this market, "openly gay man" and "woman" describe someone who identifies as a such at the time of the respective event.
- If an individual became President of the United States and then only later identified as an "openly gay man" or "woman" after leaving the Presidency, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a
