Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 56%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète17 mars 23, 04:34 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsA self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro table tennis player before 2035
Manifold MarketsA self-contained humanoid robot beats a pro tennis player before 2035
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?
Manifold MarketsATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner
Polymarket2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
PolymarketRègles
The development of humanoid robots that can perform complex tasks with agility and skill comparable to humans has been a long-standing goal in robotics and artificial intelligence.
- Playing tennis requires a combination of physical and mental skills, including strength, speed, agility, balance, coordination, strategy, and adaptability.
- Achieving a level of performance where a humanoid robot can consistently defeat top human tennis players in official matches would represent a significant milestone in robotics and AI.
- Will a fully autonomous humanoid robot be developed that can reliably win against top-ranked human tennis players in official singles matches before January 1st, 2040?
- Resolution criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2040, a humanoid robot is publicly and credibly documented to have:
