Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91.5%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète11 déc. 22, 00:41 UTC2 janv. 90, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?
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ForecastExRègles
This market resolves to YES if Alexandra Elbakyan ever receives any one of the conventional Nobel Prizes, or the Nobel Peace Prize.
Marchés ouverts
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-1.0pt62.4%
- Lamine Yamal13.9%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.6pt10.9%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 résultats de plus
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KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
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- Resident Evil Requiem10.3%
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+17 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.8pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.0pt60%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,5 k €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Shakira & Burna Boy39.8%
- Bad Bunny-2.0pt30.6%
- Anitta with Shakira25%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 994,7 €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2090.
- Comment Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if Alexandra Elbakyan ever receives any one of the conventional Nobel Prizes, or the Nobel Peace Prize.