Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 82.3%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète19 août 23, 22:41 UTC1 janv. 28, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
- Direct impacts:
- YES if noticeable change in voter behavior, voter perception and decision-making can be attributed to AI-driven factors.
- For example, if AI-generated content on social media leads to a substantial shift in voter preferences or turnout, this will be considered a significant impact.
- YES if AI played a decisive role in changing the outcome of the election.
- If AI-related factors, such as targeted advertising or deepfake videos, were determined to have directly influenced the election's result, this would be seen as a significant impact.
