Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20269j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 70.7%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 50 minutes
En retard5 août 26, 17:54 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 5% or more?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketMichigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Abdul El-Sayed is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican nominee Mike Rogers or any third-party/write-in candidate) is certified as the winner, or if the election is won by anyone other than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Source of Truth:
- Resolution will be based on official results published by the Michigan Bureau of Elections / Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed, the market may resolve based on a consensus projection from major decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ, major networks), provided there are no active recounts or legal challenges that could plausibly alter the certified outcome.