Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 61.5%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 17:54 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Michigan's 7th District?
PredictItRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Abdul El-Sayed is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican nominee Mike Rogers or any third-party/write-in candidate) is certified as the winner, or if the election is won by anyone other than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Source of Truth:
- Resolution will be based on official results published by the Michigan Bureau of Elections / Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed, the market may resolve based on a consensus projection from major decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ, major networks), provided there are no active recounts or legal challenges that could plausibly alter the certified outcome.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria