Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will autonomous weapons be used to kill >1000 humans before 2030 in an offensive strike?
Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?
Will Iran’s parliament hold a vote on initiating withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) before 2027?
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
Will Ukraine sign an EU Accession Treaty by December 2027?
Règles
Resolves YES if a United Nations body formally adopts a mandate to negotiate a legally binding instrument on autonomous weapon systems by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
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