Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31?
One-OffPolitiqueSpaceTechGéopolitiqueMiddle EastEurope3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète26 août 26, 16:05 UTC31 déc. 26, 11:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if a United Nations body formally adopts a mandate to negotiate a legally binding instrument on autonomous weapon systems by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Nonbinding appeals, expert meetings, working groups without a negotiating mandate, and negotiations outside the UN do not count.
- Source: United Nations.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if a United Nations body formally adopts a mandate to negotiate a legally binding instrument on autonomous weapon systems by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.