Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 77%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète18 avr. 23, 15:23 UTC1 janv. 29, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
KalshiWill Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
KalshiRègles
I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+29.0pt91%
- 220-239-14.3pt5%
- 180-199-12.7pt4%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 614 k €
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $200M-0.3pt98%
- $100M-0.7pt98%
- $300M-0.1pt96%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- GLP-1 / GLP 1+64.0pt99%
- Tariff+3.0pt99%
- Churro+57.0pt99%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199+3.0pt30.9%
- 160-179+3.0pt23.7%
- 200-219-7.0pt16.5%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
- No69%
- Yes+3.0pt31%
- Volume total
- 935,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt25.5%
- $2.25–$2.5T21.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt19.6%
+7 résultats de plus
- Largest Company end of September?
- Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Tencent market share this week
- Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth in September
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Xiaomi market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 24 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.