Will a major streaming service adapt A Fire Upon the Deep by Vernor Vinge into a television series by 01/01/2032?
Opérations sur titresOne-OffDivertissement5a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
No. 76.9%En tête parmi 10 options
No. 76.9%Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète28 nov. 24, 03:18 UTC2 janv. 32, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Background "A Fire Upon the Deep" is a critically acclaimed 1992 science fiction novel by Vernor Vinge that won the Hugo Award for Best Novel.
- The book is known for its complex world-building, unique alien species, and exploration of different zones of thought in the galaxy.
- Despite its popularity in science fiction circles, no streaming service has yet announced plans to adapt the novel.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES for the streaming service that first releases a television series adaptation of "A Fire Upon the Deep" before January 1, 2032.
- For resolution purposes:
- A "television series" must be a scripted, episodic show (not a film or miniseries)
