Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.7%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 avr. 25, 03:29 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The White Lotus S4: Cast
KalshiWill any scenes of The White Lotus season 4 be set at a Bilderberg Conference (or similar) event?
Manifold MarketsWill Micheal Kovach voice act a Gameoverse Character in episode 2, 3, or 4?
Manifold MarketsWhich POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRègles
New death only, no flashbacks
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : New death only, no flashbacks