Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 11:58 UTC2 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 8 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 6 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
- The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
- This market will be resolved as YES if there are 7 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
- This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
- This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 7 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
- Author betting rules
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.8pt98%
- $25M+1.6pt96%
- $50M+9.4pt94%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 963,7 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+38.5pt96%
- 65-89-29.6pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt19.8%
- 160-179+5.0pt18.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.8%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
- Above 90.0 TWh95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118,2 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,5 k €
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- What will Chewy say during their next earnings call?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.