Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAdam Hamilton (d) 60%+7.2ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+26.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard29 oct. 26, 00:06 UTC1 janv. 27, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
KalshiWho will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
KalshiIf this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Kentucky Senate Seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds
