Who will win the 2028 Way-Too-Early Democratic Primary Draft on Silver Bulletin?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTeam Nate (Shapiro, Booker, Gavin…) 54%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète17 avr. 25, 04:50 UTC30 juin 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Galen Druke and Nate Silver did a draft on Silver Bulletin!
- The scoring system is a bit complicated (it’s not just based on who wins the nomination) but everything should be clear from this image:
- [image]I will probably defer to Nate and Galen when they announce the victor.
- Otherwise, I might have to calculate it myself :(
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
