Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAlexandra Duarte 49.4%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète18 juin 25, 14:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district.
- The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
- (ballotpedia.org)
- California's 4th State Senate district encompasses parts of the northeastern Central Valley, the central Sierra Nevada, and Death Valley, including counties such as Stanislaus, Calaveras, Amador, El Dorado, Placer, Alpine, Tuolumne, Mariposa, Madera, Mono, and Inyo.
- The district is currently represented by Senator Marie Alvarado-Gil, a Democrat who assumed office on December 5, 2022.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district ?
- Manifold Markets cote Alexandra Duarte à 49% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria