Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 61.5%En tête parmi 19 options
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète16 févr. 24, 03:32 UTC6 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRègles
This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
- This can be in 2024, 2028, or however long it takes for this to happen.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? doit être résolu le 6 janvier 2029.
- Comment Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.