Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 14:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleMarco Rubio 41%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 mars 26, 06:40 UTC2 mars 29, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
JD Vance out as VP before?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketWill samo burja advise the new JD Vance administration, either with him as VP or president?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be excommunicated by the Catholic Church during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.
- Resolves no vice president announcement made if he never announces a vice president before 20 Jan 2029.
- Resolves based on first announcement of a vp pick.
- Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the announced VP even if JD Vance announces a VP during the primary but does not win the nomination.
- Example: Ted Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate before winning the primary.
